I like to think of what I do as a probability wave.

Probability

The way that more of you are likely to die than the combination of all three of the others that you see on the slide.

Probability of success

Probability of failure

2.1.2 Collision probabilities

Probability of outcome

Coconuts! You can get killed by a coconut more likely than killed by a shark.

You all know what the likelihood is of pulling the ace of spades or of flipping a heads.

Proposed estimates Unit or

The pattern itself is the message.

Applying basic probability theory, this produces the following mission start up probability matrix Table 1

Let's think about probability.

That is about as high as you can get.

Grand total, income estimates

This estimate, totalling 704,043 is based on current prices as indicated in annex II, section A and current consumption rates.

Revised estimates effect of changes in rates of exchange and inflation

They're not rational about probability.

Mission start up probability matrix

2. Minimum new mission probabilities.

4. Invites the Secretary General to prepare his proposed programme budget for the biennium 1998 1999 on the basis of a total preliminary estimate of 2,512 million United States dollars at initial 1996 1997 rates, recosted to 2,480 million dollars at revised 1996 1997 rates

The probability of impacts depends on the size of the objects, the distribution of which follows a reasonably well known law of power.

But that's a probabilistic statement.

It's just elementary probability theory.

About on average, a typical person is taking it 75 percent of the time.

This is a thousandtoone shot.

Grand total, expenditure estimates (gross)

However, the known and assessed population of debris is growing, and the probabilities of potentially damaging collisions will consequently increase.

Gross reproduction rate

Total growth rate

Collision avoidance is always probabilistic.

Ms. Nevena VUCKOVIC SAHOVIC Serbia and Montenegro

Background papers received

30 June 1998 (A 52 799)

Income was estimated at SwF 470,000 and the United Nations share of the costs at SwF 32,535,200 (equivalent to 26,001,900, at the exchange rate of SwF 1.25 to 1.00) (see A 60 6 (Sect.

GLOBAL RATE

(b) The probability of impact damage to any given subsystem

The following is a summary of the President's speech.

Summary of estimates by object of expenditure

The overall objective is to reduce the general mortality rate by 40 per cent by 2010, to 21 per thousand.

But we're going to represent beliefs with probabilities.

Probability value for which the standard logarithmic distribution is to be calculated

The odds against survival in this camp are even worse.

The overall repayment rate was 98 per cent.

Overall recovery ratef