Probability of success

Probability of failure

Probability of outcome

Probability

The law of probability, Kiley?

Let's think about probability.

Applying basic probability theory, this produces the following mission start up probability matrix Table 1

What about the probability of being caught?

You say, what's the probability of being caught?

They're not rational about probability.

It's just elementary probability theory.

Mission start up probability matrix

No, sir. The law of probability is against me.

(b) The probability of impact damage to any given subsystem

Do you know what the mathematical probability of that is?

In all probability he had his reasons.

(a) Risk of causing significant transboundary harm includes risks taking the form of a high probability of causing significant transboundary harm and a low probability of causing disastrous transboundary harm

Further applying basic probability theory, this matrix implies that there is a 95 per cent probability of at least one new mission being launched every 13 months.

This suggests that a probability of life appearing is reasonably high.

Because the risk, the high probability of climate change is real.

CPD of the grades A, B, and C. So, here is the conditional probability distribution that we've already seen before for the probability of grade given intelligence and difficulty.

There's an inherent problem with low probability events.

Tomorrow there's a high probability it will rain.

We have two pieces of observational evidence on the probability of life appearing.

I like to think of what I do as a probability wave.

So it wasn't so much about the probability of being caught again.

I mean, probability and statistics, it's the mathematics of games and gambling.

Here is a similar unconditional probability distribution for intelligence.

That's a rather trivial connection between probability and genetics.

(a) The probability of space debris impacts for a particle of a given size

The probability of no penetration (PNP) is the main criterion for shield design.

It will probably increase, and the probability is enormously huge.

Both instruments, in all probability, will continue to be required.

And the way they do this is through a combination of probability and data.

Risk assessments include the probability of an event, as well as its subsequent consequences.

What defies probability is that none of them had a rational explanation for quitting.

So that we have a better understanding of the probability of something being true or not.

To negotiate with Syria for peace, though without illusions as to the probability of success.

And we built a probability map about where they might have been.

When you go into beauty the probability wave collapses into one possibility.

Probability value for which the standard logarithmic distribution is to be calculated

And even a tiny probability of catastrophe is unacceptable when the downside could be of global consequence.

It has looked at the probability of the development of an excess of cancers many years after exposure.

In fact, as psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky have shown, there is a systematic human tendency to downgrade the perceived probability of low probability events, so that people go about their lives as if the probability of these events occurrence is zero. Similarly, humans tend to accept large downside risks in order to avoid small certain losses, such as insurance premiums.

This is not a limitation of the framework, it's just so the probability distribution won't become unmanageable.