It's just elementary probability theory.

He is viewed by many as the founder of the probability theory, and a creator of the first model of a computer.

And essentially what Bayes did was to provide a mathematical way using probability theory to characterize, describe, the way that scientists find out about the world.

In particular, Glimcher wants to identify brain structures that process key elements of utility theory when people face uncertainty (1) subjective value, (2) probability, (3) the product of subjective value and probability (expected subjective value), and (4) a neuro computational mechanism that selects the element from the choice set that has the highest expected subjective value

Let's think about probability.

They're not rational about probability.

What about the probability of being caught?

The God theory is not just a bad theory.

There's an inherent problem with low probability events.

You say, what's the probability of being caught?

Tomorrow there's a high probability it will rain.

Here is a similar unconditional probability distribution for intelligence.

That's a rather trivial connection between probability and genetics.

It was begun with the invention of relativity theory and quantum theory.

It will probably increase, and the probability is enormously huge.

CPD of the grades A, B, and C. So, here is the conditional probability distribution that we've already seen before for the probability of grade given intelligence and difficulty.

(a) Risk of causing significant transboundary harm includes risks taking the form of a high probability of causing significant transboundary harm and a low probability of causing disastrous transboundary harm

This suggests that a probability of life appearing is reasonably high.

Because the risk, the high probability of climate change is real.

In theory, there is no difference between theory and practice. But, in practice, there is.

The problems with having a theory is that your theory may be loaded with cognitive biases.

Theory and empirical evidence

There was a theory.

That is the theory.

And we built a probability map about where they might have been.

I like to think of what I do as a probability wave.

When you go into beauty the probability wave collapses into one possibility.

So it wasn't so much about the probability of being caught again.

I mean, probability and statistics, it's the mathematics of games and gambling.

We have two pieces of observational evidence on the probability of life appearing.

So without a theory of planetary rings and with only grainy data, you can't have a good theory.

And he was reading Einstein's recently published general theory of relativity, and he was thrilled by this theory.

Brian Greene on string theory

Superstring theory what is it?

But enough of the theory.

Emily Levine's theory of everything

It is not a theory.

So beautiful. What a theory.

It's not a minority theory.

Everybody likes the aquatic theory.

A Theory of Boardroom Justice

A Grand Unified Economic Theory?

The experiment confirmed his theory.

This theory is very controversial.

One of the other predictions of string theory no, that's not one of the other predictions of string theory.