Probability

Probability of success

Probability of failure

Probability of outcome

Let's think about probability.

Applying basic probability theory, this produces the following mission start up probability matrix Table 1

They're not rational about probability.

It's just elementary probability theory.

Mission start up probability matrix

The law of probability, Kiley?

A business register is a central sampling and weighting frame for all business surveys.

And because of this left weighting, the average is actually here, way to the left.

What about the probability of being caught?

In all probability he had his reasons.

There's an inherent problem with low probability events.

You say, what's the probability of being caught?

Tomorrow there's a high probability it will rain.

It could be applied to other countries, including developing ones, but the weighting of factors would change.

Here is a similar unconditional probability distribution for intelligence.

That's a rather trivial connection between probability and genetics.

No, sir. The law of probability is against me.

It will probably increase, and the probability is enormously huge.

Both instruments, in all probability, will continue to be required.

(b) The probability of impact damage to any given subsystem

Do you know what the mathematical probability of that is?

Further applying basic probability theory, this matrix implies that there is a 95 per cent probability of at least one new mission being launched every 13 months.

This suggests that a probability of life appearing is reasonably high.

Because the risk, the high probability of climate change is real.

CPD of the grades A, B, and C. So, here is the conditional probability distribution that we've already seen before for the probability of grade given intelligence and difficulty.

(a) Risk of causing significant transboundary harm includes risks taking the form of a high probability of causing significant transboundary harm and a low probability of causing disastrous transboundary harm

And we built a probability map about where they might have been.

I like to think of what I do as a probability wave.

When you go into beauty the probability wave collapses into one possibility.

So it wasn't so much about the probability of being caught again.

I mean, probability and statistics, it's the mathematics of games and gambling.

Probability value for which the standard logarithmic distribution is to be calculated

(b) the weighting of the factors under Article 5 does not warrant accommodation of the later use, in whole or in part.

74. Particular importance was attached by the team developing job evaluation methods to appropriate weighting of the points attributed to different criteria.

A different weighting scheme, using estimated purchasing power parity (PPP) exchange rate gives a different indicator of world growth (see table 1).

We have two pieces of observational evidence on the probability of life appearing.

The probability of no penetration (PNP) is the main criterion for shield design.

After examining several methods of weighting the apportionment of posts by nationality, the Secretary General reported that the introduction of a system of weighting into the recruitment policy of the United Nations, whether on an arbitrary or salary scale of points, would bring with it only marginal refinements scarcely warranting the effort and time involved.

So we previously defined CPDs. CPDs just as a reminder is a Conditional Probability

Now this gets more interesting when you look at the actual conditional probability distributions.

And the way they do this is through a combination of probability and data.