The growing gap between mortgage debts and house prices will continue to increase the rate of defaults. Many homeowners who can afford to make their mortgage payments will choose to default, move to rental housing, and wait to purchase until house prices have declined further.

The default is on.

Credit Default Swaps on Trial

Although the Hong Kong Monetary Authority tightened the lending of the bank to the mortgage borrowers, those who bought properties can also get a high percentage mortgage loan by means of the mortgage insurance, the mortgage loan provided by the developer and so on.

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How to Default on Sovereign Debt

CMHC provides mortgage loan insurance to lenders across Canada (including on reserve and in the North) and guarantees timely payment of interest and principal on Mortgage Backed and Canada Mortgage Bond, thereby ensuring a steady source of funds for Canadian home buyers.

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Its banks and financial institutions were not tempted to buy the mortgage supported securities and credit default swaps that ruined several Western financial institutions. Among the drivers of growth, domestic capital formation retained much of its momentum from preceding years.

Occupy the Mortgage Lenders

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Policy enhancements have been made to mortgage portability, second homes and mortgage qualification for self employed borrowers.

In principle, banks should be attracted to the proposal, because restructured loans are less likely to default. In practice, the banks have consistently dragged their feet on mortgage restructuring and are laying off staff, rather than hiring people who could help them deal with an initiative of the required scale.

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The key to mortgage regulation is the concept of risk weight, a measure that increases with the probability that a borrower will default. For example, a loan to AAA rated Microsoft has a 0 risk weight, meaning that it is virtually risk free.

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In December 2001, the Government declared default on its external debt.

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Think Enron, Madoff, the mortgage crisis.

The Right Weights for Mortgage Risks

The boom, and the widespread conviction that home prices could only go higher, led to a weakening of lending standards. Mortgage lenders seem to have believed that home buyers would not default, because rising prices would make keeping up with their payments very attractive.

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A grave reality is that these people bought their houses when the economy was prosperous, so the money to pay the mortgage is also calculated based on their better income. When the income declined, the pressure on the mortgage increased as a result of floating nature of some subprime mortgage plans. Thus, the real estate problems of these American families gradually evolved into a real estate crises.

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Mortgage banks kept some claims on their books, but sold most of them to investment banks as mortgage backed securities. The investment banks blended these securities into asset backed securities and collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) and sold them on to financial institutions throughout the world.

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