Credit Default Swaps on Trial

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And banks remain non transparent, and thus at risk. We still don t know the full extent of linkages among financial institutions, including those arising from non transparent derivatives and credit default swaps.

When the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers endangered the credit of financial institutions, private credit was replaced by the credit of the state, revealing an unrecognized flaw in the euro. By transferring their right to print money to the European Central Bank (ECB), member countries exposed themselves to the risk of default, like Third World countries heavily indebted in a foreign currency.

The situation is aggravated by the market in credit default swaps, which is biased in favor of those who speculate on failure. Being long CDS, the risk automatically declines if they are wrong.

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As for Europe, the Kirchner s have not yet paid off Argentina s debt pending since the default to the Paris Club of sovereign creditors. All of this hinders foreign investment and access to international credit.

The second, and more important, reason for the Franco German struggle to postpone a Greek default is the risk that a Greek default would induce sovereign defaults in other countries and runs on other banking systems, particularly in Spain and Italy. This risk was highlighted by the recent downgrade of Italy s credit rating by Standard amp

The second, and more important, reason for the Franco German struggle to postpone a Greek default is the risk that a Greek default would induce sovereign defaults in other countries and runs on other banking systems, particularly in Spain and Italy. This risk was highlighted by the recent downgrade of Italy s credit rating by Standard Poor s.

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Each of these commodities is an important input for major corporations. Surely there is at least as much natural demand for commodity bonds as there is for credit default swaps and some of the bizarrely complicated derivatives that are currently traded!

Its banks and financial institutions were not tempted to buy the mortgage supported securities and credit default swaps that ruined several Western financial institutions. Among the drivers of growth, domestic capital formation retained much of its momentum from preceding years.

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