It will probably increase, and the probability is enormously huge.

If you leave a 50 check after dinner with friends, you don't increase the probability of being invited back.

It also served to increase the risks of involvement in corruption by increasing the probability of detection and the cost of participating in corrupt activities.

Let's think about probability.

It also helps to increase the level of schooling for male and female workers, to facilitate the process for social inclusion and to reduce poverty. It contributes to combat discrimination and decrease people's vulnerability. It helps to increase more people's probability to remain in the labor market and increase productivity.

As debris increase, the probability of a satellite that is still operating normally being hit by debris becomes higher, thereby damaging or destroying an investment worth millions of US dollars.

It's just elementary probability theory.

They're not rational about probability.

What about the probability of being caught?

You say, what's the probability of being caught?

Also, an investment team specialized in developing countries and in alternative investments would increase the probability of higher investment returns and would also offer a better risk management capability as a result of further diversification.

There's an inherent problem with low probability events.

Tomorrow there's a high probability it will rain.

CPD of the grades A, B, and C. So, here is the conditional probability distribution that we've already seen before for the probability of grade given intelligence and difficulty.

Because the risk, the high probability of climate change is real.

Here is a similar unconditional probability distribution for intelligence.

That's a rather trivial connection between probability and genetics.

This here shows, on the Y axis, the increase in the probability that a person is obese given that a social contact of theirs is obese and, on the X axis, the degrees of separation between the two people.

(a) Risk of causing significant transboundary harm includes risks taking the form of a high probability of causing significant transboundary harm and a low probability of causing disastrous transboundary harm

When you go into beauty the probability wave collapses into one possibility.

So it wasn't so much about the probability of being caught again.

I mean, probability and statistics, it's the mathematics of games and gambling.

We have two pieces of observational evidence on the probability of life appearing.

This suggests that a probability of life appearing is reasonably high.

When left to the market, many firms and individuals try to innovate, so the overall probability of success can increase dramatically. The market allows the law of large numbers to work, whereas concentrated government support for a few favored firms undermines it.

Now this gets more interesting when you look at the actual conditional probability distributions.

Moreover, we can calculate a probability that the universe was created in different states.

And the way they do this is through a combination of probability and data.

And we built a probability map about where they might have been.

I like to think of what I do as a probability wave.

The longer energy prices remain at their current lofty levels, the greater the probability that inflationary expectations will increase and that second round effects will materialize. Further procrastination on interest rate normalization by the ECB could well lead to a nasty bout of inflation.

In fact, as psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky have shown, there is a systematic human tendency to downgrade the perceived probability of low probability events, so that people go about their lives as if the probability of these events occurrence is zero. Similarly, humans tend to accept large downside risks in order to avoid small certain losses, such as insurance premiums.

He estimated a probability that we will fail to survive the current century 50 percent.

Now I don't think that probability is the right category to discuss this issue in.

To negotiate with Syria for peace, though without illusions as to the probability of success.

Similarly, the Astronomer Royal, whom we heard speak yesterday, also has a 50 percent probability estimate.

So that we have a better understanding of the probability of something being true or not.

So we previously defined CPDs. CPDs just as a reminder is a Conditional Probability

Support for basic research, and patents to protect successful innovation, may help. For developing countries, Célestin Monga and I have recently developed an approach called the growth identification and facilitation framework that can help developing country governments increase the probability of success in supporting new industries.

This is not a limitation of the framework, it's just so the probability distribution won't become unmanageable.

True, history teaches that no commitment is irrevocable according to Jens Nordvig of Nomura Securities, there have been 67 currency union breakups since the beginning of the nineteenth century. Any exit from the eurozone would increase the perceived probability that other countries may, sooner or later, follow suit.

And even a tiny probability of catastrophe is unacceptable when the downside could be of global consequence.

Another author doesn't give any numerical estimate, but says the probability is significant that it will fail.

Okay, so now let's think about how we can construct the dependencies of this in this probability distribution.

Alarmed by the rapid and widespread increase in the illicit manufacture, trafficking and consumption, in particular by young people, of synthetic drugs in many countries and by the high probability that amphetamine type stimulants, in particular methamphetamine and amphetamine, may become drugs of choice among abusers in the twenty first century,